PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

karuvn

0xa3831673b121c795ad3e4b415d7cc0e3b08ecbcb

Realised P&L
$-59.97
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$0.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4100.016$0.37−$9.12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3? · No0.5780.000$0.00−$5.00
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner · KT Rolster0.4500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 30? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Solana reach $250 in October? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.00
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$2.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$3.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 6? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Cloud9 (BO1) · Cloud90.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs · T10.7300.000$0.00−$11.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 05:31Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4099999827$9.49
02-21 11:52LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBUY0.7299999851$11.76
02-14 17:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.3299998927$1.95
02-14 16:59Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.3099999401$2.93
02-14 12:26LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.7399998964$5.00
02-14 12:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
02-14 12:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?BUY0.7859999597$3.00
02-14 12:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14?BUY0.08$1.00
02-14 12:05LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsSELL0.999$26.75
02-14 11:43LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBUY0.96$25.71
02-14 11:42Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSELL0.11$1.87
02-14 11:42Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
02-14 11:40Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.3599998704$0.97
01-30 10:49LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageSELL0.34$7.18
01-30 10:16LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageBUY0.3$3.00