9134976
0xa37ae8598fa7974b4b6c0a0ed1530ee171abbc60
- Realised P&L
- $-276.84
- Volume
- $61.6k
- Markets traded
- 440
- Open portfolio
- $21.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded440
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Felix Banaszak be the next Chancellor of Germany? · No | 0.950 | 0.940 | $21.64 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.44at 0.033Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$135.98at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$135.45at 0.033Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?
- +$122.15at 0.567Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$93.83at 0.062Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.79 |
| 09-18 11:26 | Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.85 | $21.13 |
| 09-18 11:26 | Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | SELL | 0.10425 | $4.17 |
| 09-18 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.2801666667 | $2.02 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SELL | 0.82 | $21.35 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.52 | $20.83 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.3189260768 | $10.96 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%? | SELL | 0.9938850365 | $21.79 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | SELL | 0.995 | $21.81 |
| 09-18 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.79 | $23.02 |
| 09-18 11:23 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.88 |
| 09-18 11:23 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.88 |
| 09-18 11:22 | Will Muse be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | SELL | 0.73 | $18.18 |
| 09-18 11:22 | Will Muse be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | SELL | 0.7324096386 | $18.24 |
| 09-18 11:21 | Will Lars Klingbeil be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SELL | 0.9769124088 | $21.41 |