PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

9134976

0xa37ae8598fa7974b4b6c0a0ed1530ee171abbc60

Realised P&L
$-276.84
Volume
$61.6k
Markets traded
440
Open portfolio
$21.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded440
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Felix Banaszak be the next Chancellor of Germany? · No0.9500.940$21.64$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?SELL0.3$2.79
09-18 11:26Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.85$21.13
09-18 11:26Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.10425$4.17
09-18 11:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?SELL0.2801666667$2.02
09-18 11:25Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.82$21.35
09-18 11:25Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.52$20.83
09-18 11:25Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?SELL0.3189260768$10.96
09-18 11:25Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?SELL0.9938850365$21.79
09-18 11:25Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?SELL0.995$21.81
09-18 11:24Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?SELL0.79$23.02
09-18 11:23Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?BUY0.998$21.88
09-18 11:23Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?BUY0.998$21.88
09-18 11:22Will Muse be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.73$18.18
09-18 11:22Will Muse be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.7324096386$18.24
09-18 11:21Will Lars Klingbeil be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.9769124088$21.41