linzhiyou
0xa37885b063373b5b3b5bcd92d8bcaae3669c6a87
- Realised P&L
- $-762.70
- Volume
- $163.4k
- Markets traded
- 505
- Open portfolio
- $110.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded505
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9? · Yes | 0.947 | 0.993 | $79.40 | +$3.62 |
| Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.995 | $10.95 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on October 9? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.10 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.946 | $9.46 | +$0.01 |
| Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $0.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.714 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 20? · No | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.84 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? · No | 0.924 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.16 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 20? · No | 0.751 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.60at 0.964Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$45.00at 0.981Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$41.10at 0.860Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$38.78at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$36.00at 0.989Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 01:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9? | BUY | 0.945 | $9.45 |
| 10-08 15:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9? | BUY | 0.961 | $28.83 |
| 10-08 15:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 8? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.84 |
| 10-08 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 8? | BUY | 0.989 | $71.14 |
| 10-08 01:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 on October 7? | BUY | 0.988 | $79.03 |
| 10-07 23:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8? | BUY | 0.981 | $19.62 |
| 10-07 15:40 | Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 10-07 15:40 | Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.79 |
| 10-07 14:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-07 14:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on October 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-07 14:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7? | BUY | 0.986 | $54.23 |
| 10-03 04:34 | Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-03 04:34 | Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 10-03 04:33 | Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-03 04:33 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |