Truerrrr
0xa375107f5378ff3c964740008ef2aba762c10374
- Realised P&L
- $-39.32
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $2.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $2.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.81at 0.130Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$2.99at 0.660Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
- +$1.73at 0.128Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?
- +$1.67at 0.739Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
- +$0.82at 0.420Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-06 18:45 | Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | SELL | 0.75 | $7.62 |
| 02-06 18:45 | Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | BUY | 0.7699999902 | $7.83 |
| 02-06 18:32 | Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.72 |
| 02-06 18:32 | Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | BUY | 0.2299999642 | $3.60 |
| 02-06 09:01 | Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $5.22 |
| 02-06 08:51 | Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999862 | $4.90 |
| 02-06 08:50 | Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 02-06 08:50 | Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 02-04 20:19 | US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 02-04 20:19 | US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 02-04 20:13 | Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.787 | $7.08 |
| 02-04 19:39 | Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.11 |
| 02-04 19:16 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 02-04 19:16 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 02-04 19:09 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |