PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

main-01

0xa371ada2bc7e0e1c3a867de5b0c60ec752045db6

Realised P&L
$5.0k
Volume
$130.9k
Markets traded
440
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded440
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4810.285$1.6k−$1.1k
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? · No0.5720.958$175.64+$70.73
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.6120.880$148.40+$45.23
Ledger IPO before 2027? · No0.5290.978$106.55+$48.92
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.6520.974$91.81+$30.35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9300.955$85.62+$2.20
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9600.926$46.32−$1.72
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6570.365$32.85−$26.25
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.3960.385$25.02−$0.71
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.5720.915$24.77+$9.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2700.300$15.30+$1.53
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0550.074$11.10+$2.85
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0340.048$7.13+$2.08
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2950.004$4.63−$385.98
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0500.045$4.60−$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:20Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.27$13.77
10-01 01:37Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.39$19.50
09-29 17:13Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.4$5.20
09-28 03:45Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.029$1.45
09-28 03:44Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.029$1.45
09-28 03:36Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.031$1.55
09-28 02:40Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.036$1.80
09-28 02:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$33.50
09-27 23:22Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.06$3.00
09-27 18:14Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.86$43.00
09-27 18:14Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.87$43.50
09-27 11:26Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.067$3.35
09-27 01:18Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.6$30.00
09-26 15:02Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.78$3.90
09-26 03:16Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.59$29.50