glchst
0xa370934b792f8ed9660fb949bb59b97f02936b5b
- Realised P&L
- $96.74
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $374.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.85at 0.320Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?
- +$28.80at 0.280US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$16.47at 0.330Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?
- +$15.70at 0.738Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
- +$13.45at 0.430Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:03 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.63 |
| 09-17 21:58 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-17 21:58 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.6 | $15.60 |
| 09-11 09:51 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.18 | $8.10 |
| 09-11 09:49 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 08-10 11:15 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $8.25 |
| 08-10 11:15 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 22:21 | Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.36 |
| 08-06 22:21 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.68 |
| 08-06 22:19 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 23:24 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.50 |
| 07-27 18:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 07-27 18:35 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 19:53 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $14.86 |
| 07-25 19:46 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |