Colbertghn
0xa35b708e37e9d929e1781144fa50c312dfd83fb1
- Realised P&L
- $68.86
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $22.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.745 | $22.35 | +$0.45 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group · Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.56 |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.605 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.54 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.94 |
| Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Manon Fiorot | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$522.84at 0.500Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$503.56at 0.500Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$184.22at 0.497Spread: Spain (-2.5)
- +$141.93at 0.500Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
- +$139.59at 0.500Will Salzburg win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:26 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 09-10 11:19 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.69 | $17.94 |
| 09-04 09:09 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.13 |
| 09-04 09:08 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.995 | $32.84 |
| 09-04 09:08 | Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.49 | $26.95 |
| 08-13 02:13 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.82 | $27.06 |
| 07-30 03:34 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $44.95 |
| 07-30 03:34 | LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group | BUY | 0.38 | $23.56 |
| 07-30 03:33 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $45.00 |
| 07-15 06:24 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.605 | $21.54 |
| 07-03 09:43 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | SELL | 0.958 | $18.73 |
| 07-03 09:43 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | SELL | 0.958 | $56.19 |
| 07-03 09:43 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.32 | $19.94 |
| 07-03 09:42 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.9589999875 | $75.00 |
| 06-26 07:23 | Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $984.01 |