kukies
0xa357d64658e03290c8b8912e215040f9542ff206
- Realised P&L
- $-0.22
- Volume
- $576.05
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $152.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.011 | $131.44 | −$5.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $20.92 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.40at 0.883Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 2?
- +$0.31at 0.924Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 30?
- +$0.29at 0.912Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 31?
- +$0.20at 0.938Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22?
- +$0.14at 0.956Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 10:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $22.82 |
| 04-05 10:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7? | BUY | 0.9909996628 | $2.51 |
| 04-05 10:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 04-05 10:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 6? | BUY | 0.975999823 | $2.99 |
| 04-05 10:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 6? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.00 |
| 04-05 10:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 04-05 10:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 5? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $2.99 |
| 04-05 10:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $2.99 |
| 04-05 10:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 5? | BUY | 0.997999758 | $4.00 |
| 04-02 11:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 4? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $3.76 |
| 04-02 11:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 4? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.00 |
| 04-02 11:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 3? | BUY | 0.9529999975 | $2.98 |
| 04-02 11:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 3? | BUY | 0.9829999973 | $3.99 |
| 04-02 11:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 2? | BUY | 0.9719999041 | $2.99 |
| 04-02 11:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 2? | BUY | 0.875 | $2.95 |