PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

duolam

0xa3540a5abfc1153f1357d45760bfa8b86da54832

Realised P&L
$381.30
Volume
$48.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · No0.7400.745$7.5k+$50.00
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes0.2060.023$4.60−$36.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-26 02:03Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?BUY0.636$10.7k
01-09 05:53Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.795$2.8k
01-09 02:11Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.793$2.8k
01-08 07:34Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?SELL0.836$2.8k
01-08 02:37Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?BUY0.777$2.6k
10-15 07:31Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?BUY0.3599999911$21.00
03-17 02:43Spurs vs. LakersBUY0.7799999993$44.08
03-17 02:19Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?SELL0.992$29.42
03-17 02:18Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?BUY0.9929999999$100.89
12-10 07:14Flames vs. PredatorsBUY0.4399999959$38.59
12-10 07:12Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.979$51.77
12-10 07:07Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.98$51.83
12-10 07:01Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?SELL0.997$51.83
12-10 06:57Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?BUY0.998$51.89