duolam
0xa3540a5abfc1153f1357d45760bfa8b86da54832
- Realised P&L
- $381.30
- Volume
- $48.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.740 | 0.745 | $7.5k | +$50.00 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.023 | $4.60 | −$36.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.42at 0.777Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
- +$134.40at 0.636Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
- +$49.11at 0.440Flames vs. Predators
- +$12.43at 0.780Spurs vs. Lakers
- +$7.14at 0.793Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 02:03 | Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.636 | $10.7k |
| 01-09 05:53 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.795 | $2.8k |
| 01-09 02:11 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.793 | $2.8k |
| 01-08 07:34 | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by? | SELL | 0.836 | $2.8k |
| 01-08 02:37 | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by? | BUY | 0.777 | $2.6k |
| 10-15 07:31 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? | BUY | 0.3599999911 | $21.00 |
| 03-17 02:43 | Spurs vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.7799999993 | $44.08 |
| 03-17 02:19 | Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21? | SELL | 0.992 | $29.42 |
| 03-17 02:18 | Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $100.89 |
| 12-10 07:14 | Flames vs. Predators | BUY | 0.4399999959 | $38.59 |
| 12-10 07:12 | Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.979 | $51.77 |
| 12-10 07:07 | Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.98 | $51.83 |
| 12-10 07:01 | Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $51.83 |
| 12-10 06:57 | Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $51.89 |