PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Roeman

0xa34429d549f23fe45a9ca5442b79b365cd2f8141

Realised P&L
$7.5k
Volume
$518.1k
Markets traded
916
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded916
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6730.565$2.3k$432.07
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.4610.635$666.41+$182.66
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.5200.790$395.00+$135.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5750.610$277.71+$16.05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.5000.735$257.25+$82.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2550.245$245.00$10.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4380.465$232.50+$13.50
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 4? · No0.4840.885$105.26+$47.63
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2760.095$47.50$90.36
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.6100.675$41.21+$3.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.3400.125$31.25$53.75
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.4620.560$28.00+$4.88
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2890.325$19.82+$2.19
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? · No0.6200.865$17.30+$4.90
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.7500.953$3.81+$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:35Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 4?BUY0.52$17.24
08-03 01:28Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 4?BUY0.49$21.95
08-02 01:21Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.62$12.40
08-02 00:47Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 4?BUY0.45$18.45
08-02 00:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.17$85.00
08-01 00:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.52$260.00
08-01 00:01Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2757219144$137.86
07-31 23:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.23$115.00
07-31 23:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.23$115.00
07-31 23:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.5$175.00
07-30 21:05Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.46234$23.12
07-30 21:05Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.4382453333$65.74
07-30 21:03Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.4786994$239.35
07-30 14:06US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.35$35.00
07-28 01:12US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?SELL0.999$499.49