glasstable
0xa3371ac75d5f473d923e41b1a8dbced86bec3631
- Realised P&L
- $9.16
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $124.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.964 | $51.09 | −$0.69 |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.935 | $50.49 | −$0.81 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.985 | 0.978 | $22.49 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.940Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
- +$1.85at 0.963Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.971Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
- +$0.90at 0.982Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.90at 0.984Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 07:15 | Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $52.20 |
| 04-14 12:31 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9319999973 | $20.62 |