RealRedPhoenix
0xa330073e94933bfed35e35ab0c8c67f311333350
- Realised P&L
- $-85.75
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $3.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.250Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$7.20at 0.410Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?
- +$7.00at 0.300Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?
- +$6.60at 0.340Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
- +$6.36at 0.440Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 08:52 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2876032849 | $6.00 |
| 03-19 09:57 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |
| 03-05 13:10 | Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 18:06 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 01-20 18:02 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 01-14 09:56 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $4.71 |
| 01-14 09:56 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999766 | $4.00 |
| 01-12 22:27 | Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999897 | $6.00 |
| 01-12 22:27 | Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 14:38 | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999947 | $12.00 |
| 01-10 11:10 | Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 01-10 11:08 | Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 01-08 13:11 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2584261669 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 19:03 | Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3768504317 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 17:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.155 | $1.55 |