PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RealRedPhoenix

0xa330073e94933bfed35e35ab0c8c67f311333350

Realised P&L
$-85.75
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$3.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2580.080$3.10$6.90
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$11.40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$45.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$4.00
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$2.90
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in January 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$3.58
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00$1.00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.2880.000$0.00$6.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$1.55
Will another country strike Iran by March 7? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$12.00
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$4.71
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-06 08:52Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2876032849$6.00
03-19 09:57Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.2699999896$15.00
03-05 13:10Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY0.179999987$10.00
01-20 18:06Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
01-20 18:02Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?SELL0.28$2.80
01-14 09:56US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.1899999726$4.71
01-14 09:56US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.1099999766$4.00
01-12 22:27Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?BUY0.7699999897$6.00
01-12 22:27Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?BUY0.55$5.00
01-12 14:38US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?BUY0.0699999947$12.00
01-10 11:10Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
01-10 11:08Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
01-08 13:11Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2584261669$10.00
01-07 19:03Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?BUY0.3768504317$1.00
01-07 17:41Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.155$1.55