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Traders

stenche

0xa32f5a206edb028fbb917eb2219ef579c8735458

Realised P&L
$-231.08
Volume
$18.3k
Markets traded
587
Open portfolio
$22.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded587
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch · Yes0.0400.014$11.82$22.18
Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch · Yes0.0380.015$5.65$9.35
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch · Yes0.1000.032$5.12$10.88
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals · Royal Challengers Bangalore0.5780.000$0.00$1.84
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels0.4600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$2.00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates0.4890.000$0.00$2.24
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Arizona Diamondbacks0.5700.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$2.00
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu · Nepal0.6090.000$0.00$1.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Up0.0350.000$0.00$2.00
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals · Milwaukee Brewers0.5600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:37Tread FDV above $200M one day after launchBUY0.1$5.00
09-14 21:34Tread FDV above $300M one day after launchBUY0.0851582679$9.00
09-14 21:33Tread FDV above $400M one day after launchBUY0.0385116035$15.00
09-14 21:32Tread FDV above $200M one day after launchBUY0.1$11.00
09-14 21:31Tread FDV above $300M one day after launchBUY0.0338548634$25.00
06-26 23:19Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
06-26 23:19Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
06-25 01:18Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
06-25 01:18Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
06-23 05:29Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-23 05:28Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
06-23 05:27Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
06-23 05:27Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
06-23 05:25Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
06-23 05:25Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
Trader stenche · PolyBot Pro