0xa324E15669DE92117512BEE0b700d212F89a4443-1768079775984
0xa324e15669de92117512bee0b700d212f89a4443
- Realised P&L
- $-235.00
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $48.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.162 | $46.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.045 | $2.39 | −$22.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-11 22:17 | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $40.00 |
| 01-10 22:12 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.1561041302 | $45.00 |
| 01-10 21:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 01-10 21:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BUY | 0.1 | $40.00 |
| 01-10 21:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? | BUY | 0.0327856955 | $40.00 |
| 01-10 21:33 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999979 | $75.00 |
| 01-10 21:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $24.98 |