polyet
0xa31ad9aa20be1f7149ff7319daaf61f1449116a2
- Realised P&L
- $-28.04
- Volume
- $142.00
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $25.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.200 | $18.40 | −$19.00 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.150 | $7.50 | −$9.50 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 15:49 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 05-27 15:31 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |