MegaTheGabriel
0xa318a4acbd9b4d6d4c8adc049b061b06daaf0c71
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $308.5k
- Markets traded
- 612
- Open portfolio
- $170.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded612
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$597.64at 0.200Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$490.82at 0.242Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?
- +$465.92at 0.437Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
- +$424.09at 0.330Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:25 | Will Brigid Kosgei win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon? | BUY | 0.29 | $70.54 |
| 10-10 18:17 | Will Jacob Kiplimo win the 2026 Men's Chicago Marathon? | BUY | 0.56 | $33.04 |
| 10-09 08:41 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.83 |
| 10-09 08:41 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0789999999 | $1.83 |
| 10-09 08:41 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0979999978 | $2.26 |
| 10-09 08:41 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0989999963 | $2.29 |
| 10-09 08:41 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1199999965 | $2.77 |
| 10-09 08:41 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 08:32 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-09 08:32 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.248 | $6.20 |
| 10-09 08:32 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.291 | $7.27 |
| 10-09 08:30 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.295 | $9.04 |
| 10-09 08:30 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.219 | $10.95 |
| 10-09 08:30 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.2276 | $11.38 |
| 10-09 08:26 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.248 | $6.19 |