0xA3130d44C968374E9fCB0f0B20f4DbF0DAD9EB44-1772872322836
0xa3130d44c968374e9fcb0f0b20f4dbf0dad9eb44
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 1,059
- Open portfolio
- $15.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,059
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.518US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.775US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.621 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.289US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.175US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:31 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.54 | $196.74 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.53 | $42.40 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.52 | $222.04 |
| 11-01 16:14 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.52 | $318.76 |
| 11-01 16:11 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.23 | $103.96 |
| 11-01 00:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.71 | $216.55 |
| 10-31 20:52 | Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2 | $38.60 |
| 10-31 05:46 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $207.76 |
| 10-31 05:44 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $207.36 |
| 10-31 05:43 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.64 | $513.92 |
| 10-31 05:43 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.65 | $49.40 |
| 10-31 05:43 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.65 | $78.65 |
| 10-30 10:47 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.6 | $324.60 |
| 10-30 10:45 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | SELL | 0.4 | $143.60 |
| 10-29 12:17 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.45 | $77.85 |