PolyBot

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Traders

SAPolitcsSeer

0xa30e451354cb41cfd46689a065defed989ea49d5

Realised P&L
$67.1k
Volume
$3.04M
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$429.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 23:19Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$20.1k
10-29 23:17Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.93$4.7k
10-29 23:16Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$4.6k
10-29 23:14Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.9705828752$25.6k
10-19 03:02Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?BUY0.949369468$1.2k
10-19 02:52Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.9497436867$30.0k
10-17 07:10Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9$5.0k
10-17 06:44Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?BUY0.947089123$1.9k
10-17 06:41Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?BUY0.95$2.1k
10-17 06:40Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?BUY0.96$2.1k
10-17 06:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$6.1k
10-17 06:34Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?BUY0.9549868666$2.2k
10-17 06:26Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?BUY0.8387428167$5.0k
10-17 06:25Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.9590548034$3.1k
10-17 06:15Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?BUY0.9577367152$941.71