PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xa2fc16ac3cacea7a99e2b282c4f58dce1158f028

0xa2fc16ac3cacea7a99e2b282c4f58dce1158f028

Realised P&L
$17.96
Volume
$328.45
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$61.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 11:36Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?BUY0.32$3.00
10-04 11:36Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?BUY0.48$3.00
10-04 11:34Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?BUY0.9$2.90
09-24 05:27Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.7199999946$16.00
09-24 05:27Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.7199999981$15.00
07-23 17:16Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3069999862$9.55
07-19 22:49Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
07-19 21:45Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9209999889$2.00
07-19 19:00Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.725999849$1.00
07-19 19:00Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
07-18 20:54Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5909999437$10.00
07-09 16:29Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.209999974$5.00
06-22 20:59Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.77$20.38
06-22 08:32Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.3399999781$9.00
05-16 18:08Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0739999343$1.00