PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Amerikanew

0xa2f799bd6cc649e292bf76ff2ca1dc74a0b8ab44

Realised P&L
$-389.14
Volume
$95.3k
Markets traded
2,713
Open portfolio
$26.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,713
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9? · Yes0.2300.235$4.93+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9? · Yes0.2200.205$4.51−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9? · Yes0.2000.175$4.38−$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9? · Yes0.2320.205$4.30−$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? · Yes0.1900.175$4.03−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9? · Yes0.1520.125$4.00−$0.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$4.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$3.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00−$10.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$4.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00−$10.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$2.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$10.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:57Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9?BUY0.22$4.84
10-08 10:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.23$3.68
10-08 10:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.24$1.20
10-08 09:42Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.23$4.83
10-08 08:12Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?BUY0.2$3.00
10-08 08:03Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?BUY0.2$1.00
10-08 07:57Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?BUY0.2$1.00
10-08 07:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.18$1.80
10-08 07:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.14$3.08
10-08 06:27Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.19$4.37
09-26 20:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.36$10.80
09-12 05:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.35$10.50
07-04 17:00Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.019$2.66
07-04 16:59Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0170572091$27.00
06-14 11:15Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.53$2.65