Amerikanew
0xa2f799bd6cc649e292bf76ff2ca1dc74a0b8ab44
- Realised P&L
- $-389.14
- Volume
- $95.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,713
- Open portfolio
- $26.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,713
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.94at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$47.10at 0.215Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$45.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$45.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$45.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.84 |
| 10-08 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.68 |
| 10-08 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-08 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.83 |
| 10-08 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 10-08 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.08 |
| 10-08 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.37 |
| 09-26 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 09-12 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 07-04 17:00 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.66 |
| 07-04 16:59 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0170572091 | $27.00 |
| 06-14 11:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |