PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dshoen

0xa2ecd7b049e41df9d920bce3a9557697a9df6ea3

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$501.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2000.070$501.27$933.72
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026? · No0.0630.000$0.00$100.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026? · No0.0740.000$0.00$100.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026? · No0.0690.000$0.00$112.11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026? · No0.0520.000$0.00$99.33

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 18:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?BUY0.0694356619$112.11
05-26 19:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?BUY0.0629860606$100.00
05-25 19:55Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?BUY0.0516341188$99.33
05-25 19:52Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?BUY0.0739816863$100.00
05-19 20:53Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2003894821$1.4k