bigmichael
0xa2ea9504a82a6e1707a5d7e9f4c9f789fbe88ed1
- Realised P&L
- $577.99
- Volume
- $314.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,146
- Open portfolio
- $392.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,146
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$208.99at 0.216Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?
- +$153.15at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 29?
- +$91.88at 0.666Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?
- +$64.29at 0.944Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?
- +$47.14at 0.956Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $331.14 |
| 08-09 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $264.05 |
| 08-09 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $202.80 |
| 08-08 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.971 | $9.71 |
| 08-08 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 08-08 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.978 | $7.82 |
| 08-08 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.979 | $44.33 |
| 08-08 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.995 | $61.69 |
| 08-08 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-08 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-08 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.50 |
| 08-08 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.88 |
| 08-08 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $151.79 |
| 08-08 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-08 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |