sunnn
0xa2e34c672c63abe52bfd88d677ceb3ea455a7d46
- Realised P&L
- $-35.00
- Volume
- $106.4k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $168.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.929 | 0.955 | $104.04 | +$2.78 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.476 | 0.505 | $55.05 | +$3.13 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $9.90 | −$1.98 |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.06 |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.90at 0.870Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
- +$7.30at 0.003Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?
- +$6.71at 0.880Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
- +$4.49at 0.003Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$4.02at 0.930Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 10:18 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $11.88 |
| 07-07 10:18 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.75 |
| 06-13 08:08 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $36.60 |
| 05-22 14:12 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $42.69 |
| 05-22 14:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4763302752 | $51.92 |
| 04-07 10:47 | Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $15.17 |
| 04-07 10:46 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.929 | $101.26 |
| 03-31 17:24 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $30.95 |
| 02-28 11:34 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $30.95 |
| 01-31 11:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.985 | $53.19 |
| 12-28 15:13 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $113.10 |
| 12-28 15:11 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $59.01 |
| 12-28 15:10 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.942 | $65.94 |
| 11-30 14:51 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.891 | $62.37 |
| 10-30 15:27 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9299999995 | $55.00 |