PolyBot

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Traders

flovertaco

0xa2e0d285e4ce58852f1159a9b6d2b68c0bf9fd91

Realised P&L
$29.1k
Volume
$2.11M
Markets traded
271
Open portfolio
$87.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded271
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9450.925$28.0k$593.40
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9460.973$18.9k+$513.59
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2480.360$10.2k+$3.2k
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2510.245$6.9k$173.85
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · No0.7300.702$2.1k$84.52
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9380.976$1.7k+$67.56
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9150.978$1.6k+$99.79
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9250.886$1.4k$62.20
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? · No0.1580.480$1.4k+$933.93
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7920.775$1.3k$27.84
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? · No0.9180.912$1.2k$8.25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8620.855$1.2k$9.32
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9580.955$1.1k$3.33
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9570.967$1.1k+$11.54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5520.825$1.0k+$340.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:47Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.052993943$115.31
09-17 04:45Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.976$365.33
09-16 21:02Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.925$807.36
09-16 14:53Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.927$763.66
09-16 09:41Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.926$660.29
09-16 09:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.11$82.50
09-16 09:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.82$615.00
09-16 07:25Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.926$490.78
09-16 07:15Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.65$158.60
09-16 07:15Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.26$63.44
09-16 07:14Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.0012938525$0.32
09-16 07:14Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.015492623$3.78
09-16 07:14Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.0753618033$18.39
09-16 07:07Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.05$142.26
09-15 15:24Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.43$21.50