flovertaco
0xa2e0d285e4ce58852f1159a9b6d2b68c0bf9fd91
- Realised P&L
- $24.2k
- Volume
- $2.57M
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $92.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.3kat 0.627Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
- +$5.6kat 0.7882025 March hottest on record?
- +$3.9kat 0.643Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?
- +$2.8kat 0.163Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
- +$2.2kat 0.904Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:30 | Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.218619 | $21.86 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.07 |
| 11-01 16:41 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $372.69 |
| 11-01 16:41 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.9227556261 | $523.20 |
| 11-01 13:22 | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.09 |
| 11-01 13:19 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0780170455 | $13.73 |
| 11-01 13:18 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0928682938 | $16.32 |
| 11-01 08:51 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.814 | $1.5k |
| 11-01 08:50 | Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.1851167315 | $47.57 |
| 11-01 08:47 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.9755025286 | $482.23 |
| 11-01 08:46 | Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1568610267 | $327.09 |
| 10-31 18:31 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4029273504 | $188.57 |
| 10-31 18:30 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5521367521 | $258.40 |
| 10-30 22:33 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.9045042281 | $678.14 |
| 10-30 10:21 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.921 | $16.41 |