PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FELICIOLLI01

0xa2dbde56d666d29e348905062ba280e034e4a60d

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$168.4k
Markets traded
359
Open portfolio
$8.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded359
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0400.044$2.20+$0.20
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Dune 30.1340.028$1.38$5.32
Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.024$1.18$3.83
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1140.023$1.15$4.55
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0390.017$0.85$1.10
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0250.017$0.82$0.42
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0800.009$0.42$3.58
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0430.025$0.38$0.29
Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0450.002$0.10$2.15
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0900.002$0.07$4.42
Will Corbin Carroll lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0070.003$0.06$0.08
Will Azzi Fudd have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0300.001$0.01$0.32
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner · Monte0.3600.000$0.00$180.00
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI · HANJIN BRION0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Jason De Puy be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 19:40Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?SELL0.05$2.50
07-29 19:39Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?SELL0.002$0.09
07-29 19:39Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?SELL0.01$0.50
07-29 19:39Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?SELL0.075$3.75
07-29 19:39IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?SELL0.027$1.35
07-29 19:38Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $750B by July 31?SELL0.001$0.05
07-29 19:38Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?SELL0.05$1.00
07-29 19:38Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change Before September?SELL0.041$2.05
07-24 03:59Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9306752194$41.35
07-24 03:32Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by July 31?SELL0.17$8.50
07-23 20:48St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsSELL0.41$311.20
07-23 20:46Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?SELL0.0208$1.04
07-23 20:45Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?SELL0.024$1.20
07-23 20:44Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?SELL0.0226$1.13
07-23 20:42Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?SELL0.035$1.75