PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Manuelstar

0xa2d5c392b9810a34d2e16be15132f44725f244ee

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$908.40
Markets traded
2
Open portfolio
$649.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded2
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.7730.716$648.04−$51.96
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.715$1.92+$0.23

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 15:32Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999254$1.69
09-14 19:23Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.7728661149$700.00