Manuelstar
0xa2d5c392b9810a34d2e16be15132f44725f244ee
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $908.40
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $649.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.773 | 0.716 | $648.04 | −$51.96 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.715 | $1.92 | +$0.23 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999254 | $1.69 |
| 09-14 19:23 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7728661149 | $700.00 |