Osayaperopero
0xa2d0969b7ca6257c572939b64c4a80d575f3d991
- Realised P&L
- $-673.76
- Volume
- $44.5k
- Markets traded
- 898
- Open portfolio
- $141.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded898
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.901 | 0.994 | $87.22 | +$8.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.999 | $29.97 | +$1.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.960 | 1.000 | $20.73 | +$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22? · No | 0.988 | 1.000 | $3.51 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.003 | $0.09 | −$2.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.004 | $0.07 | −$1.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$2.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.01at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?
- +$62.24at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?
- +$43.69at 0.122Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 14?
- +$35.14at 0.122Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 3?
- +$33.22at 0.803Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0690216648 | $1.09 |
| 09-22 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $41.63 |
| 09-22 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9699999946 | $37.93 |
| 09-22 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $37.93 |
| 09-22 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9769999912 | $2.22 |
| 09-22 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9777975504 | $36.90 |
| 09-22 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9829999936 | $2.45 |
| 09-22 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9829999997 | $3.45 |
| 09-22 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9839999997 | $30.77 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $41.63 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $41.63 |
| 09-22 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 09-22 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.9829999995 | $2.18 |
| 09-22 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.9819999966 | $3.42 |