Osayaperopero
0xa2d0969b7ca6257c572939b64c4a80d575f3d991
- Realised P&L
- $-168.47
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 592
- Open portfolio
- $8.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded592
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.145 | 1.000 | $8.68 | +$7.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C or higher on August 7? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.09at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?
- +$62.29at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?
- +$43.95at 0.117Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 14?
- +$31.88at 0.255Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 19?
- +$28.54at 0.166Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1499998968 | $1.09 |
| 08-07 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $22.25 |
| 08-07 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0899999272 | $1.10 |
| 08-05 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9864383527 | $22.74 |
| 08-05 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9799997861 | $3.94 |
| 08-05 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9899999756 | $29.97 |
| 08-05 20:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2199998753 | $1.20 |
| 08-05 20:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 15:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9685943124 | $191.07 |
| 08-05 15:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8020063949 | $20.07 |
| 08-05 15:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.60 |
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 08-04 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.994304663 | $29.97 |
| 08-04 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2766666667 | $4.15 |