PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA2cF01420C4ec99Da2209ec0dCf5f683022E7C8e-1771704875510

0xa2cf01420c4ec99da2209ec0dcf5f683022e7c8e

Realised P&L
$442.47
Volume
$19.3k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$375.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1880.075$375.00−$565.65
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05−$0.95
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00−$35.60
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5200.000$0.00−$7.80
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$163.84
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$11.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 10:24Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.28$56.00
06-15 06:41US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.84$12.60
06-13 20:19US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.8$6.88
05-16 16:05Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.01$1.00
05-10 10:20MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2550000083$8.00
05-10 10:19MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
02-24 07:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?BUY0.004$2.00
02-22 18:34Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?BUY0.0559999983$30.00
02-21 22:35US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY0.9889999857$50.00
02-21 22:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.3899999959$50.00
02-21 20:42US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY0.985999998$3.00