PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA2CEae5D7B40B910fb3673Bc87F2bf0126Fdc879-1771555236222

0xa2ceae5d7b40b910fb3673bc87f2bf0126fdc879

Realised P&L
$-22.24
Volume
$600.44
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$29.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3870.543$21.07+$6.07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1700.105$4.95$3.05
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? · Yes0.3000.070$1.88$6.12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.4700.160$0.68$1.32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1790.040$0.44$1.56
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$2.00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 20:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4019999705$4.00
04-12 20:31Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.097$1.98
04-12 20:31Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.018$0.40
04-12 20:31H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.11$1.29
04-12 20:30Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.005$0.03
04-03 19:46Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? BUY0.2999999812$8.00
04-03 04:59US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.32$2.00
03-21 16:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3906976528$9.00
03-21 16:15Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?SELL0.12$1.04
03-21 16:14Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.013$0.20
03-21 16:14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.153$2.00
03-21 16:14Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.24$2.40
03-21 16:13Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?SELL0.14$2.59
03-13 20:102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1699999796$6.00
03-08 22:14Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?SELL0.974$2.46