PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa2cdf97a42fa94ac2f19af1fe680754743ab2e8c

Realised P&L
$985.20
Volume
$159.5k
Markets traded
593
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded593
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9160.975$2.4k+$146.25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · Yes0.8760.885$1.3k+$12.80
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8340.835$326.90+$0.58
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6400.860$172.00+$44.00
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9000.845$159.71$10.39
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.7370.225$64.38$146.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:44Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.6933107143$524.14
09-08 19:07Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.8$100.80
09-08 19:06Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.8$504.00
09-06 03:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.68$21.83
09-06 03:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.68$210.69
09-05 19:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.68$96.73
09-04 19:46US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6599999987$93.88
09-04 19:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6303490732$222.26
08-29 16:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9959999984$212.19
08-29 06:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.993418804$563.34
08-29 03:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.994$242.25
08-29 02:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.994$29.00
08-28 20:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.993$691.27
08-28 06:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.985$289.59
08-28 02:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.983$297.14