justwins
0xa2cced8bfae7d645f7f437fb76becf2fcbb70cbc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.29M
- Volume
- $17.92M
- Markets traded
- 408
- Open portfolio
- $72.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded408
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty · Atlanta Dream | 0.530 | 0.905 | $72.4k | +$30.0k |
| Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5 · Under | 0.486 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.7k |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen · Alex Michelsen | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.7k |
| Mississippi State vs. South Carolina: O/U 58.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.0k |
| US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng · Madison Keys | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.1k |
| Georgia vs. Arkansas: O/U 54.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.6k |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.3k |
| Spread: Panthers (-2.5) · Falcons | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.4k |
| Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 52.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.5k |
| Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.8k |
| Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.4k |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.1k |
| West Virginia vs. Virginia: O/U 53.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.0k |
| Panthers vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.6k |
| Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) · Kansas | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$241.6kat 0.528Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
- +$153.0kat 0.490Spread: Chargers (-6.5)
- +$136.2kat 0.507Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
- +$118.7kat 0.517Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
- +$111.0kat 0.517Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:33 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.53 | $4.51 |
| 09-20 19:32 | Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $22.2k |
| 09-20 17:51 | Spread: Chargers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $13.2k |
| 09-20 16:33 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $30.9k |
| 09-20 15:56 | Panthers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.44 | $69.9k |
| 09-20 15:00 | Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $29.4k |
| 09-20 14:05 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $8.3k |
| 09-20 14:02 | Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $12.3k |
| 09-20 13:51 | Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $30.0k |
| 09-20 13:48 | Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $29.4k |
| 09-20 12:41 | Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $13.1k |
| 09-20 12:38 | Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $19.3k |
| 09-20 00:02 | North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $4.6k |
| 09-19 22:54 | North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.4k |
| 09-19 19:11 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.43 | $3.6k |