kashnopatl
0xa2c7106712ffb9747ff608ad17de696554e7c1a1
- Realised P&L
- $-15.53
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $14.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.47at 0.127Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$10.40at 0.200Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 29?
- +$8.62at 0.138Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$8.11at 0.263Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$7.30at 0.270Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:35 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 11-01 01:22 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 11-01 01:21 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.54 |
| 11-01 00:00 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-31 22:02 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $0.61 |
| 10-31 20:27 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-31 19:10 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 11°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-31 16:03 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 10-31 15:52 | BNB Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 10-31 14:20 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.98 |
| 10-31 14:03 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.629999937 | $3.20 |
| 10-31 11:43 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.25 |