BroderT
0xa2c345fa30fe6ff2731eed91aa2ccc6d08c37e15
- Realised P&L
- $0.71
- Volume
- $177.97
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $33.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 11? · No | 0.970 | 0.978 | $4.93 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 11? · No | 0.910 | 0.945 | $4.72 | +$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 11? · No | 0.820 | 0.885 | $4.42 | +$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 11? · No | 0.830 | 0.865 | $4.33 | +$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 11? · No | 0.850 | 0.825 | $4.13 | −$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11? · No | 0.840 | 0.810 | $4.05 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.500 | $3.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $3.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.36at 0.939Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$0.33at 0.933Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 8?
- +$0.04at 0.357Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-09 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-09 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.969999998 | $4.89 |
| 10-09 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-09 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-09 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-08 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 06-18 08:31 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 06-16 20:48 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 20:20 | Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.08 |
| 06-16 20:11 | Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |