PolyBot

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Traders

Msir

0xa2ba76cec7f06f8588029ffaaaa12dddd2354888

Realised P&L
$-624.37
Volume
$34.0k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$5.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0570.045$5.40$1.40
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$3.00
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$3.00
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$69.05
Grizzlies vs. Heat · Grizzlies0.2200.000$0.00$50.00
Ethereum Up or Down on February 21? · Down0.0850.000$0.00$221.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Rockets vs. Wizards · Wizards0.1150.000$0.00$105.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 10:19Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?BUY0.15$7.50
06-23 10:19Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?BUY0.15$7.50
06-23 10:17Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?BUY0.06$3.60
06-23 10:12Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.32$33.60
05-03 09:57Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.4142857143$58.00
03-05 04:15Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.16$25.00
03-02 18:41Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.06$3.30
03-02 18:40Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?BUY0.0123194725$2.00
03-02 05:01Rockets vs. WizardsBUY0.1184120938$60.00
02-23 04:25US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?SELL0.999$99.90
02-22 09:40Solana Up or Down on February 22?BUY0.2199999937$26.00
02-22 09:35Hornets vs. WizardsBUY0.1799999987$100.00
02-22 09:30Nets vs. HawksBUY0.2299999975$70.00
02-22 09:23Ethereum Up or Down on February 22?BUY0.2599999982$80.00
02-21 20:43Solana Up or Down - February 21, 3PM ETBUY0.0256410256$8.00