Msir
0xa2ba76cec7f06f8588029ffaaaa12dddd2354888
- Realised P&L
- $-624.37
- Volume
- $34.0k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $5.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$116.67at 0.300UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$51.20at 0.600Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$33.74at 0.930Ethereum Up or Down on February 21?
- +$20.82at 0.490Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 10:19 | Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 06-23 10:19 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 06-23 10:17 | Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.60 |
| 06-23 10:12 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.32 | $33.60 |
| 05-03 09:57 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4142857143 | $58.00 |
| 03-05 04:15 | Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.16 | $25.00 |
| 03-02 18:41 | Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.30 |
| 03-02 18:40 | Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0123194725 | $2.00 |
| 03-02 05:01 | Rockets vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.1184120938 | $60.00 |
| 02-23 04:25 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 02-22 09:40 | Solana Up or Down on February 22? | BUY | 0.2199999937 | $26.00 |
| 02-22 09:35 | Hornets vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $100.00 |
| 02-22 09:30 | Nets vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $70.00 |
| 02-22 09:23 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 22? | BUY | 0.2599999982 | $80.00 |
| 02-21 20:43 | Solana Up or Down - February 21, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.0256410256 | $8.00 |