0xa2b1cdf1883fffef33e8b83f97ce59ee85bdae1b
0xa2b1cdf1883fffef33e8b83f97ce59ee85bdae1b
- Realised P&L
- $-28.79
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $3.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · No | 0.874 | 0.915 | $2.11 | +$0.09 |
| Will Solana reach $140 in October? · No | 0.750 | 0.750 | $1.01 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.15at 0.417Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$16.92at 0.417Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$9.00at 0.440Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$8.04at 0.501Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
- +$8.03at 0.430Flyers vs. Islanders
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 19:28 | Will Solana reach $150 in October? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.98 |
| 10-01 11:15 | Will Solana reach $150 in October? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 11:13 | Will Solana reach $140 in October? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 07:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.8499999579 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 07:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.8999993762 | $1.01 |
| 09-15 14:40 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | SELL | 0.89 | $3.77 |
| 09-03 14:07 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.01 |
| 09-03 13:38 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.8799992333 | $1.01 |
| 09-03 06:35 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.01 |
| 09-03 06:05 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.01 |
| 09-01 23:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 1? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.01 |
| 09-01 08:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.9839997428 | $1.01 |
| 08-28 16:20 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.75 |
| 08-28 16:18 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.28 |
| 08-24 13:24 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | BUY | 0.9759999923 | $1.01 |