0xa297b59f63d8f121c5cc129d7d09cad282a8f38f
0xa297b59f63d8f121c5cc129d7d09cad282a8f38f
- Realised P&L
- $348.75
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $119.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M25 Luan: Dong Ju Kim vs Yan Cheng CHEN · Yan Cheng CHEN | 0.610 | 0.996 | $61.64 | +$23.87 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins · Kia Tigers | 0.756 | 0.743 | $43.75 | −$0.75 |
| Will CA Grau win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.455 | $11.25 | +$3.09 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins · Kia Tigers | 0.320 | 0.505 | $2.52 | +$0.93 |
| CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$25.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.46at 0.502Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
- +$193.81at 0.452Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$188.73at 0.622Vila Nova FC vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 0.5
- +$140.77at 0.700Will Guangxi Hengchen FC win on 2026-10-07?
- +$138.40at 0.249Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:10 | Will CA Grau win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.3299999964 | $8.16 |
| 10-08 19:38 | CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $26.02 |
| 10-08 18:21 | W50 Lexington, SC: Alexis Nguyen vs Whitney Osuigwe | BUY | 0.2999999995 | $132.88 |
| 10-08 18:01 | M15+H Rodez: Timeo Trufelli vs Adrien Gobat | BUY | 0.36 | $12.65 |
| 10-08 16:08 | W50 Lexington, SC: Madison Brengle vs Aspen Schuman | BUY | 0.15 | $17.25 |
| 10-08 15:18 | W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Deborah Chiesa vs Marta Lombardini | BUY | 0.24 | $2.34 |
| 10-08 14:19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina | BUY | 0.17 | $71.74 |
| 10-08 14:11 | Villena: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh | BUY | 0.73 | $102.93 |
| 10-08 14:11 | Villena: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh | BUY | 0.62 | $104.31 |
| 10-08 14:09 | Villena: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh | BUY | 0.61 | $87.75 |
| 10-08 11:28 | W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Mariella Thamm vs Clara Vlasselaer | BUY | 0.31 | $11.76 |
| 10-08 10:20 | W35 Lagos: Baotong Xu vs Tian Jialin | BUY | 0.45 | $4.23 |
| 10-08 05:32 | M25 Luan: Dong Ju Kim vs Yan Cheng CHEN | BUY | 0.61 | $37.77 |
| 10-08 04:46 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.1799999811 | $1.14 |
| 10-08 04:46 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.1535914343 | $16.64 |