rxfdguku
0xa2968f5d6759b010248a0e8b13c3ee6c614ed047
- Realised P&L
- $-168.80
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $27.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $8.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $7.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.997 | 0.947 | $6.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $6.00 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.70at 0.500Browns vs. Saints
- +$30.74at 0.662Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.84at 0.989Xi Jinping out before October?
- +$1.89at 0.991Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
- +$1.69at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 11:56 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989998584 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 10:09 | Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 10:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.00 |
| 09-20 13:07 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 10:22 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 10:21 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-03 10:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $101.00 |
| 08-12 09:35 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 09:34 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.00 |
| 07-27 08:36 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.997999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 11:48 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.9969999983 | $174.00 |
| 07-17 11:47 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $592.93 |
| 06-21 14:55 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June? | BUY | 0.9939999656 | $5.60 |
| 06-06 10:55 | Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 06-06 10:54 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9784634483 | $592.00 |