0xa28fead0b934dc544fc8a55bd7a0ec33f1594987
0xa28fead0b934dc544fc8a55bd7a0ec33f1594987
- Realised P&L
- $-35.55
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $100.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.040Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.760Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by October 31?
- +$-0.30at 0.035Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.58at 0.130Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$-0.80at 0.130Iran leadership change by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:03 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 26? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.98 |
| 10-01 08:38 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.44 |
| 10-01 01:23 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $9.96 |
| 10-01 01:01 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $9.60 |
| 10-01 00:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.48 |
| 10-01 00:57 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $7.25 |
| 10-01 00:56 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.36 |
| 10-01 00:56 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.96 |
| 10-01 00:52 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $3.52 |
| 10-01 00:30 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.034 | $10.13 |
| 10-01 00:21 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $10.40 |
| 10-01 00:19 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.88 |
| 10-01 00:16 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $8.70 |
| 10-01 00:14 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.07 |
| 10-01 00:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.54 |