0xa28e1009f601d922f6dc0e1c214e6907dde474a4
0xa28e1009f601d922f6dc0e1c214e6907dde474a4
- Realised P&L
- $227.08
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $83.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.051 | $68.71 | +$38.71 |
| Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka | 0.120 | 0.185 | $10.79 | +$3.79 |
| Ankara: Alya Naz Altinel vs Han Shi · Alya Naz Altinel | 0.039 | 0.029 | $3.78 | −$1.22 |
| Porto: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Teresa Franco · Teresa Franco | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.20at 0.152Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-08-23?
- +$89.49at 0.195Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-13?
- +$78.40at 0.216Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
- +$77.90at 0.065Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-20?
- +$75.42at 0.459Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:42 | Ankara: Alya Naz Altinel vs Han Shi | BUY | 0.0389999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 07:42 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.1199999986 | $7.00 |
| 09-22 07:41 | Porto: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Teresa Franco | BUY | 0.013 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 00:48 | Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 00:17 | Portland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 00:16 | Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:53 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 17:02 | Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.1699999998 | $19.00 |
| 09-20 17:01 | Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999983 | $23.00 |
| 09-20 14:34 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 16:36 | Will AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 15:32 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1099999995 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 15:26 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.98 | $126.26 |
| 09-19 14:47 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7399999968 | $70.00 |
| 09-19 14:46 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $25.00 |