tomok
0xa2890a4e87bdaba6641f1ddf0ccfde6e37bcb412
- Realised P&L
- $961.89
- Volume
- $429.0k
- Markets traded
- 517
- Open portfolio
- $977.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded517
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.988 | 0.995 | $469.07 | +$3.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.996 | $300.76 | +$0.76 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.965 | 0.988 | $102.33 | +$2.33 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 5-11? · No | 0.986 | 0.989 | $100.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.920 | 0.979 | $4.89 | +$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$473.00at 0.800Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
- +$219.07at 0.920Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?
- +$170.55at 0.588Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$157.88at 0.699Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 again by March 31?
- +$152.96at 0.687Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.988 | $466.00 |
| 10-10 03:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9856662443 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 03:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.993 | $300.00 |
| 10-10 03:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.992 | $308.59 |
| 10-10 03:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.988 | $110.56 |
| 10-10 03:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.992 | $446.40 |
| 10-09 21:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9649999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 21:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.994 | $101.22 |
| 10-09 11:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 11:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.987 | $444.15 |
| 10-09 05:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-09 05:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9819999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 04:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.983 | $110.00 |
| 10-09 04:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.994 | $481.79 |
| 10-08 16:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9894692161 | $482.00 |