Opheliablue
0xa2841a07723b6a9ba4f829be28bbc2843fd311a0
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $46.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $14.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.745 | 0.720 | $8.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.545 | $5.95 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Raptors (-11.5) · Raptors | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.8k |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) · Pelicans | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$332.00 |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) · Hawks | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) · Lakers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.710Pelicans vs. 76ers
- +$2.2kat 0.480Spread: Suns (-6.5)
- +$19.09at 0.527Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
- +$13.08at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$4.65at 0.590Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 08:37 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $6.00 |
| 10-10 08:37 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7449999946 | $9.00 |
| 09-15 07:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.5799999788 | $6.58 |
| 09-15 07:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.7319999832 | $8.00 |
| 09-15 07:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.8569999952 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 10:49 | France vs. England: France O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8799999961 | $18.00 |
| 06-09 12:51 | Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9809999989 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 30? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 09:04 | UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 09:03 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 22:24 | Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999994 | $121.48 |
| 04-09 13:11 | Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $20.71 |
| 03-26 15:02 | Pelicans vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 03-10 13:47 | Iran leadership change by March 13? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.00 |
| 03-10 13:47 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |