elpredictoooor
0xa27a166492f1e92bc2c8f1a8479aa502b7e8b546
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $199.4k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.859Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$495.00at 0.670Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$426.30at 0.580Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$412.07at 0.918Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$385.69at 0.951Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 12:52 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.675 | $67.50 |
| 07-18 12:45 | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $221.26 |
| 07-18 12:45 | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $467.04 |
| 06-25 11:08 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 06-20 14:27 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.8k |
| 05-29 15:03 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $472.70 |
| 05-29 15:00 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 05-21 14:00 | Another Elon baby by June 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 05-21 13:55 | Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $64.07 |
| 05-21 13:43 | Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9874966021 | $39.23 |
| 05-21 13:42 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $967.62 |
| 05-11 04:10 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.332 | $199.20 |
| 04-20 18:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 04-18 20:55 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.2k |
| 04-18 20:46 | USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99787705 | $399.15 |