PolyBot

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Traders

elpredictoooor

0xa27a166492f1e92bc2c8f1a8479aa502b7e8b546

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$198.6k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9040.966$2.1k+$134.10
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026? · No0.9611.000$715.99+$27.69
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8450.973$583.80+$76.80
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9870.977$195.30−$2.18
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9550.942$188.40−$2.60
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · No0.8800.987$112.16+$12.16
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · No0.9000.982$109.06+$9.06
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? · No0.9100.997$99.65+$8.65
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · No0.4930.865$99.57+$42.80
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9880.980$97.95−$0.83
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.895$89.50+$24.50
Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.976$87.80+$5.04
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027? · No0.8380.603$79.60−$31.07
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.4360.760$76.00+$32.38
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6750.571$57.05−$10.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 12:52Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.675$67.50
07-18 12:45Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.962$221.26
07-18 12:45Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.961$467.04
06-25 11:08Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.73$36.50
06-20 14:27Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.91$1.8k
05-29 15:03Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.58$472.70
05-29 15:00Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.58$116.00
05-21 14:00Another Elon baby by June 30?BUY0.93$93.00
05-21 13:55Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?BUY0.92$64.07
05-21 13:43Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.9874966021$39.23
05-21 13:42Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?BUY0.975$967.62
05-11 04:10MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.332$199.20
04-20 18:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.6499999935$20.00
04-18 20:55Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?BUY0.975$2.2k
04-18 20:46USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.99787705$399.15