trencher69
0xa27275bdbb5487ea3fe96cd70e5715762b254e61
- Realised P&L
- $-13.11
- Volume
- $922.33
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.565 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will ZED FC win on 2026-08-28? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-09-09? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Up | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| El Ahly SC to score first vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.58at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$6.64at 0.235Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$5.17at 0.637Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$4.72at 0.542Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$4.64at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 05:45 | Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 18:48 | Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 05:39 | El Ahly SC to score first vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC? | BUY | 0.7299999221 | $1.50 |
| 08-28 17:11 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.661 | $3.90 |
| 08-28 15:36 | Will ZED FC win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 15:35 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.391 | $0.77 |
| 08-28 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 15:01 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.6359999715 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.95 |
| 08-20 06:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6699996951 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 06:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $2.15 |
| 08-20 06:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $2.40 |
| 08-19 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8299997053 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.33 |