PolyBot

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Traders

9...

0xa2711d1d311a0b2fa7f88d5c7cb760a3fa062727

Realised P&L
$12.4k
Volume
$2.28M
Markets traded
12,762
Open portfolio
$401.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,762
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magnus Carlsen finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No0.0100.495$27.71+$27.16
Will Hikaru Nakamura finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No0.0100.495$27.71+$27.16
Will Zhamsaran Tsydypov finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No0.0100.495$27.71+$27.16
Will Aleksei Sarana finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No0.0110.495$24.50+$23.94
Will Jeffery Xiong finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No0.0120.495$23.51+$22.95
Will Arjun Erigaisi finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No0.0100.415$23.24+$22.68
Will Aravindh Chithambaram finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No0.0120.495$22.27+$21.71
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.0010.051$21.75+$21.32
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes0.0200.496$19.84+$19.04
Will Awonder Liang finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes0.0200.495$19.80+$19.00
Will Vincent Keymer finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes0.0200.495$19.80+$19.00
Will Wei Yi finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes0.0200.495$19.80+$19.00
Will Parham Maghsoodloo finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes0.0200.495$19.80+$19.00
Will Javokhir Sindarov finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes0.0200.494$19.78+$18.98
Will Wesley So finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes0.0200.490$19.62+$18.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:22Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in August?SELL0.01$0.21
08-04 06:19Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?SELL0.012$0.34
08-03 23:25Will AMD say "Game" or "Gaming" 5+ times during earnings call?SELL0.04$0.04
08-03 23:25Will AMD say "Data Center" 10+ times during earnings call?SELL0.031$0.03
08-02 05:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?SELL0.002$0.01
08-01 15:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?SELL0.013$0.10
08-01 10:13Will “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?SELL0.006$0.08
08-01 10:10Will “Your Friends & Neighbors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?SELL0.01$0.01
08-01 10:10Will AMD say "CPU" 20+ times during earnings call?SELL0.108$0.11
08-01 05:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?SELL0.014$0.54
08-01 05:49Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?SELL0.08$0.61
07-31 13:30FC CSKA 1948 vs. FC Arda Kardzhali: O/U 5.5SELL0.03$1.29
07-30 19:36Will "The Diplomat" win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?SELL0.01$0.02
07-30 19:35Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersSELL0.44$0.90
07-28 16:05Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?SELL0.12$1.38