Odelia
0xa26ee9a655806bcf95c42e91c6fb774481dbb55e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.48
- Volume
- $572.49
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $6.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $1.13 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.00 |
| Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.925 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.674 | 0.697 | $1.06 | +$0.03 |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.650 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.984 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.029 | $0.04 | −$1.01 |
| Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
| Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.33 |
| Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.33at 0.500Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?
- +$0.70at 0.5005% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?
- +$0.63at 0.500Pepe ETF in 2025?
- +$0.59at 0.500Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?
- +$0.56at 0.500Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:06 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-06 17:06 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:05 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 17:04 | Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September? | SELL | 0.995 | $7.03 |
| 10-06 17:03 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.769999868 | $1.05 |
| 10-06 17:03 | Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.20 |
| 10-06 17:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.90 |
| 10-06 17:01 | Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 16:57 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6739999607 | $1.03 |
| 06-25 17:58 | Will "The Last Ship: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.39 |
| 06-25 17:58 | Will "The Last Ship: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.45 |
| 06-25 17:57 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.42 |
| 06-25 17:56 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9989999239 | $6.50 |
| 06-25 17:56 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 26? | BUY | 0.9989998345 | $6.00 |