bserser
0xa26766c60a97d7f8a534c73edfb2e1b3350151f8
- Realised P&L
- $-31.71
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $22.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.285 | $17.50 | −$9.51 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.984 | $5.22 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.87at 0.927Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?
- +$0.72at 0.960Solana reach 240 September 1–7?
- +$0.65at 0.900Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?
- +$0.62at 0.960Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.53at 0.907Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:53 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 08-10 09:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9899998099 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 03:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 03:27 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 05:18 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969998269 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 07:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9289998214 | $5.03 |
| 03-17 07:05 | Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.02 |
| 02-19 06:40 | Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999954 | $27.01 |
| 02-19 06:40 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $26.66 |
| 01-07 03:35 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $285? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.76 |
| 01-07 03:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.9949999793 | $41.00 |
| 12-06 15:02 | XRP all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9769999377 | $13.20 |
| 12-06 15:02 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9839999827 | $16.80 |
| 12-06 15:02 | Will BNB reach $1,250 in December? | BUY | 0.984 | $16.59 |