0xA262A31a093641a224Bb944beF4aB01FbE8f37a7-1771112738595
0xa262a31a093641a224bb944bef4ab01fbe8f37a7
- Realised P&L
- $-160.38
- Volume
- $82.0k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $13.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $10.53 | +$2.90 |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $2.72 | −$2.72 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 28? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 4PM ET · Up | 0.323 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.22at 0.012Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 4?
- +$8.20at 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$5.07at 0.038Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$4.87at 0.005Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$4.41at 0.691Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 22:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 22:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 22:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.1395280899 | $0.62 |
| 07-26 22:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.998 | $6.31 |
| 07-26 22:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $1.31 |
| 07-26 22:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 22:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 21:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 21:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $6.74 |
| 07-26 21:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |