0xa261cea2028394557e51325c3107a7dd33c8ee72
0xa261cea2028394557e51325c3107a7dd33c8ee72
- Realised P&L
- $11.81
- Volume
- $239.45
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $9.59
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.86at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$3.50at 0.308Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.34at 0.400Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:03 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $532.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 07:02 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:02 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:48 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:34 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 06:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:27 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:56 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:51 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:49 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |