PolyBot

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Traders

0xa25b68c2942d2dfb3cdd67925744123b181665b3

0xa25b68c2942d2dfb3cdd67925744123b181665b3

Realised P&L
$0.10
Volume
$308.53
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$86.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · Yes0.2390.198$14.87−$3.13
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · No0.7620.802$14.74+$0.74
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? · Yes0.2930.235$8.83−$2.17
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5180.435$8.40−$1.60
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6600.465$7.45−$3.12
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? · Yes0.2640.255$4.83−$0.17
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? · Yes0.2500.265$4.24+$0.24
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? · No0.6550.595$3.63−$0.37
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000? · Yes0.1500.175$3.02+$0.43
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? · Yes0.2540.281$2.21+$0.21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 10%-15%? · No0.8700.919$2.11+$0.11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000? · Yes0.2500.085$2.04−$3.96
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,500,000 and 7,750,000? · Yes0.1950.172$1.77−$0.23
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? · Yes0.1850.322$1.74+$0.74
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000? · Yes0.4000.240$1.20−$0.80

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 01:58Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-09 00:42Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-08 00:48Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?SELL0.2$0.45
10-07 21:55Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?SELL0.2$0.09
10-07 16:57Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-07 15:22Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-07 15:12Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-06 12:57Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-06 04:59Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 325,000 and 350,000?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-05 20:00Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-05 20:00Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-05 18:23Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 700,000 and 800,000?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-05 17:06Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-05 02:37Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-05 02:37Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?BUY0.2899999884$1.00