VinisiusZM
0xa25a105087aaeec31edb47121f72b861a576e92a
- Realised P&L
- $599.91
- Volume
- $110.7k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $273.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.430 | $245.97 | −$274.57 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.850 | 0.960 | $16.93 | +$1.93 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.715 | $11.00 | +$1.00 |
| Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu · Arthur Fery | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$315.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.260Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
- +$587.61at 0.986Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
- +$251.19at 0.670Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$146.38at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
- +$115.17at 0.630Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 22:05 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-06 16:52 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.9459999995 | $21.00 |
| 06-06 16:50 | Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu | BUY | 0.6 | $315.00 |
| 03-27 10:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.961 | $480.50 |
| 03-27 10:30 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.13 | $156.00 |
| 03-27 10:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $243.50 |
| 03-27 10:26 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.26 | $9.28 |
| 01-28 00:18 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.1k |
| 01-26 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BUY | 0.6299999483 | $10.00 |
| 01-26 02:16 | Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999998 | $100.00 |
| 01-26 02:13 | Infinex FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9974170489 | $100.04 |
| 01-05 00:56 | Infinex FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.997 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 00:56 | Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8499999972 | $15.00 |
| 01-05 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | BUY | 0.7199999877 | $7.00 |
| 01-05 00:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.00 |